William and Mary
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
326  JP Trojan SO 32:30
357  Ryan McGorty JR 32:34
540  Dawson Connell SR 32:54
820  AJ Tucker SR 33:24
1,049  Spencer Tsai FR 33:41
1,053  Cooper Leslie SO 33:42
1,117  Evan Woods SO 33:48
1,341  Zach Skolnekovich FR 34:07
1,536  Cavender Salvadori SR 34:22
1,542  Andrew Cacciatore SO 34:23
1,784  Thomas Vinci JR 34:45
1,965  Matthew Heinicke-Peart SO 35:02
2,136  Jack Ehlenberger SO 35:24
2,201  Ryan Onders JR 35:34
National Rank #93 of 315
Southeast Region Rank #13 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.1%
Top 10 in Regional 19.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating JP Trojan Ryan McGorty Dawson Connell AJ Tucker Spencer Tsai Cooper Leslie Evan Woods Zach Skolnekovich Cavender Salvadori Andrew Cacciatore Thomas Vinci
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/23 931 32:05 32:25 32:54 33:14 33:23 33:30
Penn State National Open 10/13 1005 32:30 32:33 32:57 33:33 33:31 34:02 34:05 34:09 34:20
CAA Championship 10/28 1014 32:34 32:44 32:46 33:33 34:21 33:35 33:48 33:33 35:14 34:29 35:01
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 1015 32:43 32:34 32:57 33:18 33:23 34:09 34:44





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 11.8 369 0.1 0.7 1.8 4.1 12.9 23.5 25.8 19.6 7.2 3.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
JP Trojan 45.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8
Ryan McGorty 48.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.4
Dawson Connell 65.5
AJ Tucker 95.3
Spencer Tsai 112.9
Cooper Leslie 112.8
Evan Woods 117.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.1% 0.1 5
6 6
7 0.7% 0.7 7
8 1.8% 1.8 8
9 4.1% 4.1 9
10 12.9% 12.9 10
11 23.5% 23.5 11
12 25.8% 25.8 12
13 19.6% 19.6 13
14 7.2% 7.2 14
15 3.0% 3.0 15
16 1.0% 1.0 16
17 0.4% 0.4 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 19
20 0.1% 0.1 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0